> ## Documentation Index
> Fetch the complete documentation index at: https://docs.hit.com/llms.txt
> Use this file to discover all available pages before exploring further.

# Making Your First Prediction

> A step-by-step guide to placing your first trade on Hit

Ready to make your first prediction? This guide will walk you through placing your first trade on Hit.

Before you start, make sure you have [created an account](/markets/signing-up) and [deposited funds](/markets/deposits).

### How to Trade

<Steps>
  <Step title="Find a Market">
    Browse [available markets](https://hit.com) and pick an event you're interested in

    **Good first markets:**

    * Simple Hit/Miss questions.
    * Topics you know well.
    * Short-term events (resolve within days or weeks).
  </Step>

  <Step title="Understand the Question">
    Read the market question and resolution criteria carefully:

    * What exactly is being asked?
    * When is the market likely to close?
    * How will it be resolved?

    **Example:** "Will Bitcoin reach \$150K by December 31, 2025?"
  </Step>

  <Step title="Check the Current Odds">
    Look at the current prices:

    * **Hit at 35¢** = 35% chance of happening.
    * **Miss at 65¢** = 65% chance of not happening.

    Prices always add up to \$1.00.
  </Step>

  <Step title="Decide What to Buy">
    Choose your position: - Buy **Hit** if you think the event will happen - Buy
    **Miss** if you think it won't happen.
  </Step>

  <Step title="Place Your Trade">
    Enter your trade amount: Start with a small amount (\$5 - \$10). Review the
    expected outcome. Click "Buy" to confirm.
  </Step>

  <Step title="Monitor Your Position">
    Track your trade in your portfolio:

    * Current value of your shares.
    * Profit/loss if you sold now.
  </Step>
</Steps>